The U.S Census Bureau will announce its data from 2020 on Monday, which will directly determine how many seats each state will have.
According to estimated numbers from the political consulting firm Election Data Services, Florida and Texas are likely to gain two and three House seats respectively while California and New York are expected to lose one seat each.
This will also affect the number of Electoral College votes each states have, as the vote total is based on the number of House and Senate seats each state has.
States that are projected to gain one House seat include Arizona, Colorado, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon.
Alabama, Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and West Virginia are all projected to lose one seat each.
The Census Bureau was supposed to release its data earlier this year, but the pandemic and natural disasters caused delays in the gathering of data.
When the data is released, states must redraw their districts to accommodate the change in populations, likely causing conflict over gerrymandering, as both political parties will want to favorably draw districts.
Even though some states did not gain or lose any House seats, districts likely need to be redrawn based on population shifts.
“They’re probably going to try to fight it and push another gerrymandered unfair map,” said Maryland Republican Gov. Larry Hogan to Fox News earlier this year. “But we’re going to probably end up in court. And I believe that we will prevail and we’ll have a more competitive situation with fair districts that are compact and contiguous and that will make more sense.”
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